Analyzing the data presented, several intriguing conclusions can be drawn. The upcoming Premier League match between Wolverhampton (Wolves) and Aston Villa is scheduled for October 8, 2023. Despite Wolves' poor performance in the league of late, the win over Manchester City, despite having a clear advantage of possession and fewer shots on target, shows their ability to win under pressure. However, it should be noted that a busy schedule can affect their performance: they had to play several matches in a short period, and fatigue can be one of the factors.
On the other hand, Aston Villa, who recently played in the Europa League and achieved commendable success, are in good form. In recent matches, Aston Villa have been showing a dominant performance, possessing the ball, taking a lot of shots and scoring a lot of goals. Historically, Aston Villa is in the top echelon of English football, which speaks volumes about its pedigree.
Recent meetings between these teams have tilted slightly in Wolves' favor, but given current form, Aston Villa have the advantage. Perhaps fan support and the home/away factor play a role here, because when playing at home, teams usually have a psychological advantage.
If we look at the secondary indicators, Aston Villa have a higher frequency of shots and shots on goal than Wolves. Aston Villa's xG suggests they are more efficient at finishing their chances than Wolves. Villa's dominant possession in recent matches could wear Wolves down, especially given their busy schedule.
Aston Villa's recent qualification to the Europa League shows an improvement in their form, as evidenced by recent performances such as dominant possession, more shots taken and a significant number of goals scored. Additionally, Wolverhampton's fatigue factor cannot be discounted given their busy schedule. The historical matches between these teams favor Wolves, but the current momentum, combined with Aston Villa's dominant secondary metrics such as xG and possession, gives Villa a stronger case to win this match.
Both teams tend to play attacking football, which has led to a constant number of corners in recent matches. Wolverhampton, despite fatigue, will likely press for their chances, while Aston Villa, thanks to their current form and aggressive style of play, will also contribute to the number of corners. Considering their recent games, the expectation of more than 9 corners in this match seems reasonable.
Given the attractive odds and the attacking nature of both teams, betting on total corners over 9.5 stands out as a good risk/reward ratio.
EnglandPremier League - Round 7