If we talk about personal meetings, then in recent matches Rostov has an advantage over Akhmat, having won 3 of the last 5 meetings. The latest results of both teams cannot be called outstanding: Rostov scored 10 points from 11 matches, and Akhmat - 12 points from the same number of meetings. An important point is the difference between goals scored and goals conceded. With a neutral goal difference, Akhmat conceded significantly more goals than he scored, which indicates a leaky defense.
In terms of playing style and statistics, Rostov seem to be involved in high scoring matches, averaging 3.7 goals per match. Conversely, Akhmat scores an average of 2.2 goals per game. The statistics of excess/decrease are also indicative. Rostov dominates in matches with more than 2.5 goals, while Akhmat tends to score less than 2.5 in his matches.
When looking at expected goals (xG) data, Rostov is trending downwards, especially when comparing their xG to actual goals in recent matches. Akhmat's xG numbers are more consistent with real goals, but they also had cases when they did not take advantage of their chances.
Based on past meetings and statistical data, both teams have a significant tendency to participate in matches in which more than two goals are scored. In particular, Rostov constantly participates in high-goal matches, scoring an average of 3.7 goals per match. Defensive vulnerabilities combined with attacking ambitions result in both teams having opportunities to score. Although Akhmat is slightly leaning towards under 2.5 goals, the dynamics of this match, given the importance and past meetings, make it likely that there will be goals from both sides.
Rostov's attacking dynamics present an intriguing picture. With an average of 3.7 goals per game, they are no strangers to the desire to score an own goal. Past meetings with Akhmat were also productive for them. Considering the importance of this match, Rostov will play ahead. Combined with the xG indicator, it becomes clear that Rostov creates more than enough chances to score. While the conversion rate to goals isn't always true, the sheer volume of opportunities they create makes this an attractive bet.