Real Madrid are in better form, winning 7 of their last 8 matches, while Osasuna have only managed 3 wins in the same number of games. In addition, Real demonstrate superiority in defense, conceding only 6 goals, while Osasuna - 10. Historically, Real has the upper hand in recent meetings: three wins out of four, and once the teams tied.
It should also be taken into account that Real Madrid had a busy period: 5 matches in 20 days. Fatigue may play a role, and Osasuna, which has a slightly more relaxed schedule, may be more rested. The importance of the next match cannot be underestimated. Given that this is La Liga, every match matters for the final league standings and every team is looking to get maximum points.
Analyzing detailed statistics:
Real Madrid seem to be creating more chances, as evidenced by more expected goals and shots on target. Possession of the ball in matches like against Atlético shows their dominance even in difficult matches.
On the other hand, Osasuna fails to convert possession into effective attacks and often lacks expected goals.
In recent matches, Real Madrid has demonstrated its attacking power. In most matches the team managed to score at least two goals. When you consider that Osasuna's defense, which concedes an average of more than one goal per game, has thinned out somewhat, this becomes even more convincing. Historically, Madrid tend to ramp up attacking moves, especially when they have momentum, which is what they are currently doing. Given the high level of expected goals and the number of shots on target in recent matches, Real Madrid winning by 1.5 goals in this match seems a plausible scenario.
The combination of Madrid's current form, their historical propensity to attack and Osasuna's defensive vulnerability makes this a particularly attractive bet, with odds of 1.40 offering good risk/reward value.
Both teams demonstrate an attacking style of play, which leads to a large number of corner kicks. Real Madrid, attacking persistently, often earns numerous corners. At the same time, Osasuna, despite its problems with possession, also scores a decent number of corners. On average, both teams take more than 10 corners per game. Given the attacking nature of Real Madrid and the likely defensive position of Osasuna, the dynamics of the game suggest a large number of opportunities for corners, so a bet over 9.5 corners is quite justified.