Analyzing extensive data, we can conclude that the teams Milan and Lazio are equal rivals: both have five wins in their last seven matches. Despite Milan's defeat to Inter, their wins against in-form teams like Roma and Torino show resilience and tactical skill. Detailed statistics show Milan's dominance in possession and shots on goal, indicating their attacking prowess. Lazio's form, although somewhat inconsistent, boasts impressive wins and solid defending, as evidenced by the low expected goals rate in their last two matches.
Both teams show a penchant for attacking play, resulting in more goals and consistently exceeding odds of 1.5 in their matches. In Milan matches there is a particularly noticeable trend towards an increase in total goals, with an average of 3.5 goals per match, making betting on totals over 2.5 or 3.5 goals attractive, albeit with medium risk, as Lazio's average is slightly lower.
If we look at additional indicators, Milan's superiority in possession and shots on goal in recent matches suggests that they are in control of the match, which could lead to more goals, especially when playing at home. Lazio's recent match history, in contrast, shows strong defending but less control, which could lead to fewer goals and a reliance on counter-attacks.
Event: Total goals
Bid: Total goals over 2.5, EF 1. 95
Why: The sum of goals in matches of both teams shows a steady tendency to exceed 2.5. Despite Lazio's strong defense, Milan's attacking power, especially at home, can break through, making this a promising bet.
Event: Match outcome
Bid: Win Milan, CF 1. 80
Why: Milan are in great form, beating strong teams in recent matches. Home arena advantage provides an added advantage, making victory more likely. This is confirmed by high rates of ball possession and shots on goal.
Event: Both teams will score
Bid: Both teams will score - Yes, CF 1. 85
Why: Both Milan and Lazio show significant scoring potential. Despite a strong defense, Lazio faces an attacking Milan, making it more likely that both teams will score.
Given the scoring potential of both teams, betting on both teams to score is likely to work. It combines low risk and good odds, offering a balanced betting opportunity.
Event: Total corners
Bid: Total corners over 9.5, CF 2. 47
Why: Milan's past matches show a high frequency of corner kicks. This bet comes with an increased risk, as Lazio's statistics are not so stable in this regard.
Event: Individual total goals
Bid: Milan's individual total is over 1.5, CF 1. 85
Why: Milan's attacking statistics, especially at home, indicate that over 1.5 goals will be scored in the match, making this a reasonable bet with medium risk.