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Completed 2 months ago
By analyzing the data provided, we can identify some trends that may influence the choice of bet.
Match context
The match in question will take place on 07. 10. 2023, Mallorca and Valencia will meet. Both teams are at crucial stages in their La Liga campaigns. This game is a big one for both teams given their recent results and the fact that in such a competitive league every point is critical.
Past results
Looking back at previous games, Mallorca had a somewhat congested fixture list at the end of September: three games in seven days. This can affect players' fatigue even if they have a week of rest before an upcoming match. However, the history of matches between these teams is in Mallorca's favor: three wins and a draw in the last five meetings. Playing at home, with the support of the fans, should also give Mallorca a psychological advantage.
Team form and statistics
Although Mallorca have been in shaky form lately, with just one win in their last eight matches, they have managed to score in most of their matches, suggesting they are a potential threat in the final third. The same cannot be said about the Valencia team, which, despite having more points, struggles in attack.
Statistics highlight this weakness in Valencia's attack. Expected goals (xG) have been lower in recent matches, suggesting they are not creating many real opportunities. Mallorca's possession is lower overall, but expected goals are better distributed, suggesting more effective use of chances.
The number of yellow cards for both teams indicates a certain aggressiveness in their play, which could mean possible fouls or ejections in the game.
| Event | Bet: | Odds | Risk | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| They will score - they will not score | Mallorca will score | 1.40 | Short |
Recently, Mallorca, despite their mixed form, have been consistently hitting target. This trend is confirmed by their xG in recent matches, which suggests that they are creating a lot of scoring opportunities. Playing at home, with the support of your fans, can provide the edge you need to make those chances happen. In addition, the last meetings with Valencia were productive, which gives them a psychological advantage.
| Event | Bet: | Odds | Risk | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total goals | Total goals over 2.5 | 2.55 | Average |
Both Mallorca and Valencia participated in matches in which a sufficient number of goals were scored. In particular, in recent matches of Mallorca there has been a high level of goals scored. Combined with Valencia's recent form, which has exposed vulnerabilities in their defence, there is a significant likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. The statistics, when analyzed together, also suggest that both teams will contribute to the result.
This bet offers a good balance between risk and reward. The nature of the last matches of both teams suggests that there will definitely be goals. Factor 2. 55 makes the potential profit tempting, and the average risk ensures that the bet will have a reliable statistical basis. The dynamics of the game of both teams in attack and defense, when considered together, is a convincing argument in favor of this bet.
| Event | Bet: | Odds | Risk | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total yellow cards | Total yellow cards over 4.5 | - | Average |
Both teams have shown some aggression in recent matches. This is evidenced by the number of yellow cards they received in previous matches. Aggressive play combined with high stakes in a match can make fouls inevitable. Therefore, you should not expect more than 4.5 yellow cards in a match, especially given the competitive nature of the league and the importance of the game for both sides.
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