If you look at the form of both teams, you can see a stark contrast. Mainz going through tough times in the Bundesliga. The latest matches show that the team cannot keep the ball in its goal: over the last 3 matches it conceded 9 goals and scored only 2. This is in stark contrast to the opponent Stuttgart, who scored 11 goals and conceded only 5 during the same period.
Historically, recent meetings between these teams have gone in favor of Stuttgart. In the last 5 meetings Stuttgart won 3 times, and 2 other matches ended in a draw. In the last game Stuttgart won a landslide victory with a score of 4:1.
The only notable success Mainz recently - victory over "Elfsberg"in the German Cup 1/32. However, one should not attach much importance to the victory over "Burnley", as friendlies often do not reflect a team's true competitive form.
So, if you look at the statistics of corners and yellow cards, it becomes obvious that both teams play aggressively. U Mainz more yellow cards, indicating more aggressive tactics or a tendency to make mistakes under pressure.
Given the clear superiority Stuttgart and the historical data of their meetings, they look like favorites.
Event: Match outcome
Bid: Win Stuttgart, CF: 2. 65
Why: Stuttgart have shown a more powerful attack over the last few matches, scoring 11 goals in three matches. Stuttgart have been outperforming Mainz lately, who look weak defensively, conceding 9 goals in as many matches. In addition, the statistics of personal meetings leans in favor of Stuttgart - 3 wins out of the last 5 meetings. Given Mainz's recent form, it can be assumed that they will struggle to contain Stuttgart's attacks.
Event: Total goals
Bid: Total goals over 2.5, EF: 1. 73
Why: The last matches of both teams indicate that a lot of goals will be scored in them. Given Stuttgart's attacking prowess and Mainz's vulnerability in the back line, the game could yield plenty of goals. On average, Mainz scores 3.7 goals per match and Stuttgart 5.3, well above the 2.5 goal threshold.
Given the attacking form of both teams, especially Stuttgart, and Mainz's defensive weakness, it is likely that more than 2.5 goals will be scored in this game. This option combines a fairly good odds value and a relatively lower risk, which makes it the most attractive of all the bets presented.
Event: Both teams will score
Bid: Both teams will score - Yes, CF: 1. 58
Why: Both teams show ability to score goals. Mainz, despite their problems, are showing glimpses of attacking intent. Given Stuttgart's aggressive attacking style, they are likely to score. Vulnerabilities in the defense of both teams further increase the chances of such an outcome.
Event: Handicap (Handicap)
Bid: Handicap Stuttgart -1, CF: 4. 2
Why: This is a bolder bet, but worth considering for those looking for higher returns. Stuttgart's form and 4-1 win over Mainz in their last meeting gives confidence to this option. If Stuttgart performs at its best, there is a chance of winning by more than one goal.