Analyzing the presented statistical data, several important factors can be identified. Firstly, if we look at the dates of past games, we can see that both teams had a relatively standard schedule, with no particular signs of match congestion. However, the stage of the tournament can play a decisive role here. Matchday 10 of La Liga sees the standings begin to take shape, which could be a particularly motivating factor for teams like Girona, who are performing well and aiming to secure a strong position, while Almeria desperately need points to avoid being relegated to the bottom.
Historically, Girona have shown strengths in recent meetings with Almeria, which, combined with the advantage of home play and the morale boost generated by current form, could tip the scales in their favor. Girona's form has been impressive with 7 wins in their last 9 matches, which shows the confidence of a team that not only wins but also scores a lot (19 goals) while maintaining a decent defense. Almeria, on the other hand, are struggling, having failed to secure a single win in their last 9 matches, suggesting a lack of confidence or systemic problems in the team.
Additional indicators such as possession, shots on goal and expected goals (xG) also favor Girona. They consistently outperform Almeria in these metrics, which suggests they are more likely to control the match and create more scoring opportunities. A higher xG and more shots on target in recent matches suggest that Girona are a more dangerous attacking team.
Girona's attacking statistics are convincing: in the last 9 matches the team has scored 19 goals, which suggests that they are constantly hitting the target. Their attacking prowess is also reflected in their xG and high number of shots on goal, which suggests that the team not only scores goals, but also creates a lot of quality chances to do so. Almeria, on the other hand, has shown defensive weaknesses in recent matches, which is aggravated by the lack of victories, which suggests that the team is not only unable to cope with the competition, but is also vulnerable from behind. Given the high stakes at this stage of the tournament, Girona will be motivated to prove their dominance, so it is likely that they will score a few goals.
This bet is not only profitable due to its odds, but also fits well with the statistics and current form of both teams. Girona's powerful attack, combined with Almeria's defensive problems and high tension in the match, makes it highly likely that Girona will score several goals. This choice allows you to effectively balance risk and potential reward, being the most profitable option.
Both Girona and Almeria have experience of participating in matches in which more than 2.5 goals were scored. Girona's strong form and high scoring record, coupled with Almeria should be looking to win, point to the likelihood of an open, attacking match. Almeria's defensive woes suggest they could concede a few goals and their desperate fight for points will not allow them to sit idly by, thereby contributing to more goals. This dynamic sets the stage for a game in which both teams will be forced to go forward, increasing the likelihood of more goals.