Everton and Bournemouth, two Premier League teams, have shown different forms and capabilities. Recently, both teams have played 7 matches, in which Everton won one victory, and Bournemouth is still unbeaten. Historically, the teams have shared victories in recent meetings, but Everton's victory at home last May could give them a psychological advantage, especially since the next match will be played at their home stadium. Everton's recent defeat at Luton Town, despite dominating possession (68%) and creating a large number of chances (xG - 2.74), indicates an ineffectiveness in converting chances. Bournemouth's statistics show that the team is under siege, conceding a lot (15 goals in 7 matches) and unable to score. A 0-4 home defeat to Arsenal with an xG of 0.58 highlights the limitations of the attack and the weakness of the defense.
Everton look the stronger team in terms of possession and shots on goal. It is noteworthy that both teams tend to play matches with more than 2.5 goals. Corners are also a dominant aspect for both teams, especially Everton at home. Although yellow card data does not indicate an overly aggressive style of play, it is important to be aware of isolated fouls that can change the dynamics of the game.
In recent matches, both Everton and Bournemouth have shown a tendency to play with more goals. However, their defense was not as reliable as one would expect from teams of their level. In particular, Bournemouth conceded 15 goals in the last 7 matches, which indicates the uncoordinated work of its defense. Moreover, if you look at their last meetings with each other, many of them ended with a score of more than 2.5 goals. Given the attacking intentions of both sides combined with their defensive vulnerabilities, this bet has an attractive risk/reward ratio.
This bet offers a good balance between potential reward and inherent risk. Given the recent results of both teams, a game with more goals seems likely. The 1.82 odds provide a favorable return for a scenario that, based on recent data, is relatively likely. It should always be remembered that while statistics may indicate trends, there is still an element of surprise in football.
Everton, despite their poor form of late, have home advantage and the mental advantage gained from their latest win over Bournemouth. Given that Bournemouth's defense is quite penetrable, as evidenced by 15 goals conceded in just 7 matches, there is a good chance that Everton will take advantage of this and win by at least two goals. Combined with Everton's tendency to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities, as reflected in their high xG ratio, this makes this an attractive bet.
EnglandPremier League - Round 7