Prediction for the match: Empoli - Salernitana

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Football
Italy: Serie A - Round 6
Empoli
Place Bet
Salernitana
27 September 2023
19:30
UTC+3
Completed 2 months ago
Total:
2/4
The best:
1/1
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Analysis:

Empoli and Salernitana are approaching this meeting in different ways. Recently, Empoli have been unable to score a single goal in their last five matches, conceding 13. The last meeting with Juventus showed a deficit in possession and expected goals, further highlighting their problems in attack. Unlike Salernitana, which, without a single win in the last five matches, managed to draw three times and score four goals. Against Frosinone, they showed more balanced possession and a higher xG, indicating Empoli's superior attacking capabilities.

Historically, Empoli have a slight advantage when looking at head-to-head statistics, but their current form is not conducive to maintaining that trend. The average number of goals per match for both teams is around 2.6, with games often ending with more than 1.5 goals and less than 3.5 goals, indicating a potential middle ground in terms of goals scored in the upcoming match.

Event: Match outcome (Double outcome)

Small risk

Rates: Draw or Salernitana, CF: 1. 65

Why: Given Empoli's recent form, having failed to score in their last five matches and conceded 13 goals, Salernitana are more likely to win or draw. Salernitana have managed to score four goals in their last five matches, demonstrating slightly higher attacking potential compared to Empoli, which increases their chances of at least a draw in the upcoming match.

Best Bet

Event: Total goals

Small risk

Bid: Total goals under 2.5, EF: 1. 77

Why: Both Empoli and Salernitana have a history of matches with a total of fewer than 2.5 goals. In particular, Empoli has not scored in the last five matches, which indicates his problems with the attack, and therefore this bet is a likely scenario for the upcoming match. With an average of around 2.6 goals per match for both teams, betting on a total under 2.5 is statistically more likely.

This is the safest bet given the recent form of both teams. Empoli's struggles to score and Salernitana's modest attacking form increases the likelihood of a low-scoring game, so betting on goals under 2.5 makes the most sense in this match.

Event: Next goal

Medium risk

Bid: Salernitana to score first, CF: 2. 20

Why: Salernitana has shown a relative ability to find the opposition goal, scoring in recent matches, unlike Empoli. Against Frosinone, Salernitana showed more balance in possession and a higher xG, suggesting greater attacking options and making her a more likely candidate to score first in this match.

Event: Total corners

Medium risk

Bid: Total corners over 7.5, CF: 1. 29

Why: Historical match data between Empoli and Salernitana shows a significant number of corners, often exceeding 7.5. Given this trend and despite their current form, it is not unreasonable to expect a similar pattern in the upcoming match, making this a potentially viable bet.

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