If we look at the detailed statistics of the latest matches between Bournemouth and Wolverhampton, as well as their results in head-to-head matches, we can highlight several points.
Bournemouth seem to be going through tough times: despite eight matches they have not won a single game, drawn three times and lost five times. At the same time, they conceded 18 goals and scored only five, which is an alarming indicator for any team and indicates the vulnerability of the defense. Recent defeats to Everton, Arsenal and Brighton, in which they conceded multiple goals and had fewer shots on target than their opponents, further highlight this. Wolverhampton, on the other hand, are in slightly better form with two wins and a remarkable win over Manchester City, despite City dominating possession and shots on target.
The important point is the previous meetings between these teams. Bournemouth managed to win and draw in their last two meetings, which indicates their psychological advantage.
Looking deeper into the metrics, Bournemouth had a fairly high percentage of possession but often failed to convert it into shots on goal, a stark contrast to Wolverhampton. Wolves, even with less possession of the ball, demonstrate the ability to have more shots on goal, which demonstrates their skill in counter-attacks. Wolverhampton's record, especially against stronger teams, suggests they are capable of weathering the storm and striking at the right time.
Historically, Wolverhampton win more corners compared to Bournemouth. If we analyze Bournemouth's recent matches, we can see a clear pattern: Bournemouth often moves back, which leads to the fact that the opponent gets more opportunities to take corners. Wolverhampton's game strategy, which was especially evident in the recent match with Aston Villa, where they earned 10 corners, is aimed at winning corners. This strategy, combined with Bournemouth's defensive setup, makes it likely that the total number of corners in a match will exceed 9.5. The consistency of Wolverhampton's corner statistics and Bournemouth's defensive play is the basis for this recommendation.
Bournemouth's current form exposes defensive vulnerabilities. Having conceded a significant number of goals in recent matches, their defense is often caught off guard. On the other hand, Wolverhampton, with their counter-attacking prowess, demonstrates the ability to break down defenses even when not in possession. Given Bournemouth's historic lead over Wolves, they may be determined to score. The combination of Bournemouth's shaky defense and Wolverhampton's striking potential suggests both teams are likely to score.
The dynamics between Bournemouth's defense and Wolves' attack, combined with the psychological dynamics of previous years, suggest that both teams will find opportunities to score. A coefficient of 1.65 is a favorable risk/reward ratio.
EnglandPremier League - Round 7