Bayer Leverkusen have been showing dominant performances in recent matches. They played eight matches in two months, which indicates a busy schedule. Despite this, they remain in impressive form with five wins and one draw in the Bundesliga. They scored 20 goals and conceded just six. Their performance in the Europa League further confirms their current dominance, as demonstrated by their 4-0 win over Häcken. Ball possession consistently exceeds 50%, indicating the ability to control the match. The ratio of shots on goal also shows a high conversion rate, especially in matches such as Heidenheim, where there were 10 shots on goal and four goals scored.
On the other hand, FC Cologne seems to be struggling. In the Bundesliga they suffered five defeats and only drew once. They managed to score only four times, while conceding 11 goals. Possession of the ball and shots on goal do not indicate a dominant performance of the team, which is confirmed by the xG indicator, which often does not coincide with real goals, which indicates ineffective execution of chances.
Historically, in their last five matches against Bayer Leverkusen, Cologne have won two and drawn one. These matches were quite competitive, as evidenced by the statistics of corners and yellow cards. Playing away, as this match against Cologne will be, is often a difficult task, especially given the possible support of the home fans.
Bayer Leverkusen have been a formidable force in their latest matches, with five wins and one draw in the Bundesliga in just two months. Aggressive play and constant possession of the ball, often exceeding 50%, gives them an advantage in controlling the tempo of the match. Combined with an impressive 20 goals scored against just six conceded, they are in excellent form. Playing at home is also likely to boost their performance, especially against a Cologne team that has suffered five losses and one draw, making Leverkusen the clear favorites for this match.
Bayer's recent matches demonstrate his attacking prowess: he often breaks the 2.5 goal mark. High shots on goal ratio coupled with aggressive play suggests the match could be a high-scoring one. The defense of FC Cologne, which allowed 11 goals in the last matches, further increases the likelihood of a multi-goal outcome of the game. In addition, given Cologne's ability to periodically find their way into the opponent's goal, a total of more than 2.5 goals seems quite likely as a result of this match.
Leverkusen's scoring potential is hard to ignore: they have averaged over two goals in recent Bundesliga matches. A high conversion rate, as was the case in matches with a large number of shots on goal, for example against Heidenheim, indicates that they know how to take advantage of the chances created. Although FC Cologne have provided decent opposition to Bayer in the past, Leverkusen's current form coupled with Cologne's recent defensive lapses makes it likely that the home team will score more than once in the match.