Analyzing the presented statistics, the upcoming match between Atalanta and Genoa in Serie A paints a vivid picture of the state of both teams. Atalanta, despite their recent defeat to Lazio, demonstrates attacking prowess as evidenced by their expected goals (xG) numbers. The game against Juventus ended goalless, but the xG of 1.31 suggests the team had chances. The number of shots on target in most recent matches underscores this attacking superiority. In addition, the team has had a busy schedule recently: games in the group stage of the Europa League alternated with performances in Serie A.
Genoa, on the other hand, is more vulnerable defensively. While inferior to teams with lower xG numbers such as Roma, Genoa allow a large number of chances and convert fewer of theirs. This is confirmed by the low number of ball possessions and fewer shots on goal.
Statistics of meetings between teams show that many of them end in a draw, especially with a minimum number of goals scored. Three of the last five meetings ended in goalless draws, and one ended with a large score of 3:4 in favor of Atalanta. This inconsistency makes it difficult to predict exact results based on encounter history alone.
Given the recent history of meetings and Genoa's defensive play, there is a possibility that the match will be low-scoring. However, given Atalanta's attacking prowess, she can be unpredictable. The odds for this victory should be in the range of 1.70-1.90.
Atalanta win with handicap -1 (high risk): Atalanta has home ground advantage and given its form and attacking stats, it could win by a margin. Given Genoa's weak defense, this bet could be interesting. The coefficient should fluctuate around 2.00 or higher.
To sum it up, Atalanta's form and aggressive play make them favorites, but the unpredictability of football, especially with a team like Genoa, can always bring surprises. Always remember to bet responsibly and be well informed before placing a bet.
Atalanta, playing at home and armed with the statistics of their latest attacks, is able to take control of the game. Their aggressive style of play combined with home ground advantage means they are more likely to dominate the game from an attacking perspective. The stats also highlight their potential to create plenty of scoring chances, and with Genoa occasionally faltering defensively, Atalanta could use them more than once. This suggests Atalanta could win by a large margin, making the -1 handicap bet intriguing.