Wolfsburg's recent performances have been controversial. They won 4 of their last 7 matches, but suffered a disappointing 3:1 defeat to Stuttgart in their last meeting. Possession statistics show that Wolfsburg tend to have less possession, often in the range of 40%. Although they manage to score well, their expected goals (xG) do not translate into actual goals, especially in away matches.
Bayer Leverkusen, on the other hand, is in great shape. In recent matches, Leverkusen have dominated in terms of goals scored, possession and xG. Leverkusen are particularly lethal at home, with big wins that demonstrate their attacking prowess. Also noteworthy is the performance in the Europa League, which could hint at greater depth and quality in the squad.
If we talk about personal meetings, the situation here is more equal. Of the last five meetings, two ended in a draw, Bayer won two, and Wolfsburg won one. If Bayer looks a little more aggressive (more yellow cards), Wolfsburg have historically managed to contain them, especially in away matches.
Looking at team form and overall statistics, Bayer are the stronger team with 19 points from 7 matches and an impressive goal difference. Wolfsburg are 12 points behind, the goal difference is barely positive. According to the over/under statistics, it is clear that more than 1.5 goals are regularly scored in the matches of both teams. At the same time, Bayer is more prone to goals - on average 4.1 goals per match.
Both Wolfsburg (Wolfsburg) and Bayer (Bayer Leverkusen) demonstrate consistent performances in matches in which more than 2.5 goals are scored. In Wolfsburg's recent matches, an average of 2.7 goals are scored, and Bayer is even more productive - 4.1 goals on average. This means that historically and in current form both teams participate in matches in which at least 3 goals are scored. Given this data and the form of both teams, it is highly likely that at least 3 goals will be scored in the match, making this a safe, low-risk bet.
Bayer Leverkusen are undoubtedly in brilliant form, as evidenced by their recent performances. With 19 points from their last 7 matches they are showing their attacking prowess and their goal difference is incredibly positive. Wolfsburg, although a strong team, are not as consistent, especially in away matches. Considering the statistics of the matches, the current form and the overall performance of both teams, the probability of Leverkusen winning is quite high.