Prediction for the match: Villarreal - Las Palmas

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Football
Spain: Primera - Round 9
Villarreal
Place Bet
Las Palmas
8 October 2023
15:00
UTC+3
Completed 2 months ago
Total:
0/3
The best:
0/1
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Analysis:

Villarreal played eight matches in less than a month, indicating a busy schedule that could lead to player fatigue. This may be especially noticeable given the team’s participation in the Europa League - an important and responsible competition. In contrast, Las Palmas seemed to have a less hectic schedule, playing only in La Liga.

The next game is in La Liga, which will be hugely important for both teams as they look to move up the standings. However, neither Villarreal nor Las Palmas are in commendable form: both teams have 8 points from 8 matches, and the goal difference is -3, which suggests that they are evenly positioned.

Villarreal are not showing impressive results at home, but Las Palmas's away form is causing concern. Home advantage may play a small role for Villarreal.

As for the game, Villarreal seem to have problems converting shots into goals. In many matches, Villarreal have more possession of the ball, but do not use it to their advantage. And in defense, Villarreal concedes more often than they score. Las Palmas, on the other hand, are more conservative in their actions, as evidenced by fewer goals and less possession in several matches.

Shots on goal, a measure of specific chances, suggest Villarreal are creating more chances, but Las Palmas are more efficient. However, the expected goals metric shows that Villarreal should score more than they do, hinting at missed chances or poor finishing.

Corners could be a potential betting tool as Villarreal consistently wins more corners than their opponents, a testament to their attacking play. However, Las Palmas was a bit unpredictable in this area.

Disciplinary statistics show that Villarreal are somewhat more aggressive, receiving more yellow cards than their opponents. This may indicate both game strategy and a desperate desire to regain control of the match.

Best Bet

Both Villarreal and Las Palmas are not in the best shape right now. Given the critical nature of the upcoming La Liga match, both teams may take a more cautious and defensive approach, trying not to concede. Historically, matches between these teams often ended with a minimum number of goals scored. The recent performances of both teams in the championship further confirm the assumption that there will be fewer goals in the match. Given both teams have equal odds, it is likely that neither team will take too many risks, especially in the early stages of the game.

This bet combines low risk and good odds, making it an ideal choice. Considering the teams' recent performances and the importance of the match, this is the safest betting recommendation.

Villarreal, especially when playing at home, display an attacking style that often leads to corners. Their game statistics for recent matches constantly show an advantage in the number of corners won compared to their opponents. Las Palmas, on the other hand, demonstrates the diversity in this area. Given Villarreal's pressing nature and need to regain form, he will likely dominate the flanks, leading to more corners. This reflects Villarreal's strategy on the pitch and their desire to capitalize on chances.

Las Palmas have been inconsistent in their away matches, often failing to hit the target. Villarreal, despite having more possession and creating more chances, lack finishing. Expected goals shows they should score more than they currently do. Given these statistics and the possible caution of both teams, it is quite possible that each will end up not scoring. Defensive play and the significance of the match further increases the likelihood that one team will score.

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