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Completed 1 month ago
Analysis:
Having studied the data presented, we can conclude that both Toulouse and Metz are having an uneven season so far. Toulouse have just one win in their last six matches, suggesting they are potentially struggling to secure a place in the first team. Toulouse have shown a lack of attacking prowess in recent matches, as seen in the match against Lens where they managed just 0.38 expected goals and 2 shots on target. In terms of ball possession and number of shots on goal, they are constantly inferior to their opponents.
In contrast, Metz is showing a slightly more balanced game, with two wins in his last six matches. However, the recent match with Strasbourg, in which they had only one shot on target, hints at possible problems in attack. Despite having a more favorable goal difference than Toulouse, their defense remains a concern, with 10 goals conceded in six matches.
Looking at additional indicators, the significant lack of possession and low number of shots on goal indicate a potential weakness in Toulouse's attack. At the same time, Metz's data suggests that he has deficiencies in defense, although his attack is somewhat more powerful.
The upcoming match is of great importance and both teams will be fighting for a crucial victory. Given the historical matches between these teams ending in a draw with the same number of goals, we can expect this time to be a similarly close encounter.
Event: Match outcome
Medium risk
Bid: Draw, CF 3. 55
Why: Looking at the past results and recent form of both teams, a draw would be a likely outcome. Both Toulouse and Metz have been inconsistent, with identical results in their last six matches. Their previous meetings also ended in a draw, which further increases the likelihood of a draw. Statistics such as expected goals, shots on goal and possession show that both teams have their problems, making it difficult to determine a clear winner and making the draw an attractive bet.
This bet offers a good balance of risk and reward. Given the teams' history and recent form, a draw is a likely outcome and the odds of 3.2 make this an attractive bet, guaranteeing a good payout if successful.
| Bet: | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Total goals under 2.5 | 1.90 |
Event: Total goals
Low risk
Bid: Total goals under 2.5, EF 1. 90
Why: Both teams showed problems with attack in recent matches. In particular, Toulouse are lower in shots taken and expected goals, indicating their inability to score. Metz, while slightly better offensively, has his problems. Considering these factors, betting on total goals under 2.5 is safer and more realistic, as a low-scoring match is expected.
| Bet: | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams will score - No | 2.13 |
Event: Both teams will score
Medium risk
Bid: Both teams will score - No, CF 2. 13
Why: Attack statistics for both teams indicate difficulty scoring goals. In recent matches, Toulouse has scored fewer goals and taken fewer shots on goal. Metz, although having the best goalscoring record, also displays inconsistency in attack. This makes it a reasonable bet that one or both teams may not score in the upcoming match.
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