The match between Torino and Inter on October 21 is intriguing. Torino's latest form - two losses and a draw in their last three matches - shows their vulnerability. In particular, in the game with Juventus they made only one shot on target, although they had ten shots. On the other hand, Inter are in excellent form, having defeated Benfica in the Champions League, which shows their focus on the decisive matches. However, the recent draw with Bologna, in which Inter produced a lower xG than their opponents despite having more possession, is a cause for concern. The game against Sassuolo further highlights the fact that while they dominate possession, they sometimes struggle to finish games, as evidenced by their xG numbers.
Historically, Inter have been stronger than Torino, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Combined with the team's current form and impressive goal difference this season (+16 to Torino's -3) they look like favorites. However, football is not played on paper. Despite the fact that Inter have dominated in recent matches in terms of shots and ball possession, they periodically stumble in finishing the game. Torino, playing at home, can take advantage of this. Torino matches tend to score fewer goals (average 1.9 per game) and most end with a difference of less than 2.5 goals. Inter, despite its attacking power, scored less than 3.5 goals in 4 of 8 matches.
Torino's recent matches indicate its problems in attack. They have scored just once in their last three matches. On the other hand, Inter, despite their strength, shows vulnerabilities, which makes them potentially cautious in this away match. Torino, despite a good defense, can hardly break through Inter's defense. Given the nature of both teams and the statistics given, it can be assumed that one of the teams may miss the target.
Most of Torino's matches this season have seen fewer than 3 goals scored. The team's conservative approach and inability to convert chances into goals, as well as Inter's occasional ineffectiveness in front of goal despite dominating possession, make this an attractive bet. Both teams could use a cautious strategy, especially if Torino are looking to bounce back from a poor performance and Inter are wary of surprises.