The upcoming match between Roma and Monza in Serie A on October 22 is an intriguing clash. Roma, a team with a rich history and a strong fan base, playing at home should technically have an advantage. Roma have had mixed form of late, with several big wins and a shock defeat to Genoa despite dominating possession. Monza, on the other hand, is in slightly better shape, having scored more points than Roma in recent matches. A recent away draw with Lazio, a team of similar caliber to Roma, speaks volumes about their ability to hold their own against stronger opponents on home soil.
Statistics show that Roma play more attacking football with higher expected goals (xG) and more shots on target than Monza. However, Roma's aggressive play often results in them conceding more goals, leaving vulnerable spots in the defense. Monza, on the other hand, play more conservatively but effectively given their xG numbers.
Let's look at specific indicators:
Possession: Both teams have roughly equal control of the ball, suggesting that midfield battles will be crucial.
Shots and xG: Roma have higher overall shots and xG. However, it is worth noting Monza's efficiency, who often scores from fewer shots, which speaks to her clinical finishing ability.
Corners: Roma win more corner kicks on average, reflecting their attacking pressure.
Yellow cards: Both teams have received a fair number of yellow cards, indicating that they may be playing aggressively or desperately, especially when they are trailing.
Roma boast an impressive attack, especially when playing at home, resulting in a high number of shots and expected goals. Their aggressive play, while beneficial in attack, often leaves gaps in the defense, making it vulnerable to conceded goals. On the other hand, Monza, despite having fewer opportunities, demonstrates decent efficiency in front of goal. A recent away draw against a strong club like Lazio shows that they are capable of scoring even against strong opponents. Considering these factors, we can assume that both teams will score in the upcoming meeting.
Roma's style of play is characterized by pressing in high areas of the field and attacking pressure, which leads to an increase in the number of corner kicks. Recent matches confirm this trend. In contrast, Monza, who plays in a counter-attacking style, is able to earn corners by getting ahead in breakthroughs. Considering the total statistics of corners for both teams in recent matches, the outcome of the game with at least 10 corners is quite likely. This reflects not only the teams' attacking intentions, but also what kind of defenders they will face.