The match between Osasuna and Granada reveals some intriguing conclusions from their previous meetings and current form. In the last five head-to-head meetings, Osasuna has a slight advantage: 3 wins versus 2 for Granada and one draw. Interestingly, most of Osasuna's recent matches have seen at least two goals scored, indicating their penchant for moderately high-scoring matches.
Let's understand their latest form. Osasuna, although in a better position with 10 points, looked to have suffered a 4-0 defeat to Real Madrid in their last match. This heavy defeat, coupled with the 2-0 defeat to Atlético, shows vulnerability against strong teams. On the other hand, Granada seem to have even greater problems, especially in defense. Having conceded 23 goals in 9 matches, its defense looks leaky. However, the 2-2 draw with Barcelona suggests that Granada are capable of playing beyond their capabilities, as they managed to secure the draw with only 19% of the ball.
Osasuna's stats suggest that the team is reasonably balanced, but slightly short of scoring goals, as evidenced by 9 goals against an expected 9.43 xG over the last few games. Granada, with 15 goals against an expected average of 12.61, may be over-performing in attack, but have been alarmingly slow in defense.
If we look at the latest data, we can see that in the confrontation between Osasuna and Granada there is a steady trend towards a moderate number of goals scored. Historically, most recent matches have seen at least two goals scored. Granada's current form further emphasizes this point - in 9 matches they have conceded 23 goals, which indicates serious deficiencies in defense. On the other hand, they managed to score 15 goals, which is more than the expected odds of 12.61, demonstrating their attacking prowess. Osasuna, although lacking in offensive output, can use Granada's fragile defense to its advantage. Given these factors, a game with a handicap of more than 2.5 goals is quite likely.
Osasuna appears to have a slight advantage in recent matches against Granada. Their best league position (10 points), although not impressive, does indicate that the team is in slightly better shape. Defeats to strong teams like Real Madrid and Atlético show their vulnerability, but not necessarily against teams of Granada's caliber. Granada's 2-2 draw with Barcelona was an exception to the rule and was more a sign of Granada occasionally getting ahead than of a consistent performance.