In the upcoming match between Orenburg and Fakel, scheduled for 21. 10. 2023, there are several compelling factors to consider. Firstly, examining their recent schedule, you can see that there are no obvious overloads;.
Regarding the importance of the tournament, although no details are given about the standings, their forms and results suggest they are relatively close in the league. This will likely mean that the upcoming game is of great importance for both teams in terms of accumulation of crucial points.
Historically, Orenburg seem to have the upper hand, having notably won in their recent meetings. However, it is also important to note that they have been performing poorly lately, with just three wins out of 11 games. In comparison, Fakel only managed two wins, but managed to draw more matches. Both teams conceded more than they scored, highlighting possible defensive vulnerabilities.
An assessment of both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and historical results indicates a trend towards games with over 2.5 goals scored. Of Orenburg's last 11 games, 10 have seen more than 1.5 goals scored, indicating a high probability of scoring. Although the 2.5 goals threshold is slightly higher, the weak defense combined with expected goals data suggests this bet makes sense. It's a little riskier but offers good odds.
Although Orenburg has been in unstable form lately, they have an advantage in head-to-head matches. Their ability to get more shots on goal combined with the Torch's struggle to find the back of the net makes this a tempting bet. Handicap -1 means Orenburg must win by at least 2 goals for the bet to be successful. This bet carries significant risk due to the certainty of a clear edge to win, but it offers a tasty reward in terms of odds.