Prediction for the match: Mainz - Bayer

Analysis:

Taking a look at the statistics presented, there is a clear difference in the form and performance of Mainz and Bayer ahead of the match on September 30, 2023. Mainz have made a poor start to the season, failing to win their last five Bundesliga matches and conceding a significant number of goals. Despite Mainz's surprise win over Bayer Leverkusen in February 2023, the team's current form has not inspired confidence, as reflected in possession and expected goals (xG) in recent matches.

Bayer, on the other hand, are in excellent form, having won four of their last five Bundesliga matches and boasting a solid goal difference. The recent Europa League match showed that the team had a tougher schedule, but they handled it well without letting it affect their performance. They have more possession of the ball, have more shots on goal, and are significantly superior to Mainz in terms of xG statistics.

Looking at additional metrics, Bayer consistently outperforms Mainz in shots on goal, shots on target and possession. The statistics for corners are not as contrasting, but Bayer still have a slight advantage. The only thing that is concerning is the number of yellow cards Bayer have, which suggests a more aggressive game, which can sometimes backfire.

Event: Match outcome

Low risk

Bid: Win Bayer, CF 1. 60

Why: Bayer Leverkusen are in excellent form with four wins in their last five Bundesliga matches, demonstrating a consistent attacking and defensive strategy. Mainz, on the other hand, is experiencing a series of winless matches. Bayer's latest Europa League match suggests a tougher schedule, but it hasn't affected their performance at all: more possession, more shots on target and more xG, making betting on Bayer to win a smart bet.

Event: Total goals

Low risk

Bid: Total goals over 2.5, EF 1. 58

Why: Analysis of recent matches involving both teams indicates an upward trend in the number of goals scored. This season, both Bayer and Mainz played matches in which the total goals exceeded 2.5. Despite Mainz's problems in defense, the probability of a goal in this match is high, which makes betting on a total of more than 2.5 goals quite justified.

Event: Individual total goals

Low risk

Bid: Individual total goals Bayer over 1.5, CF 1. 55

Why: Bayer's impressive scoring form makes this bet attractive. Their strategic play and successful assists in recent matches highlight their ability to score more than one goal against Mainz's lackluster defense.

Event: Both teams will score

Medium risk

Bid: Both teams will score - No, CF 2. thirty

Why: Given Mainz's weak attack and Bayer Leverkusen's solid form, betting on both teams to score can bring in good returns. Bayer's strong defense combined with Mainz's unconvincing attack makes this a bet worth considering.