Match between Lazio and Atalanta scheduled for 08. 10. 2023, follows a busy period, in particular for Lazio, who played 04. 10. 2023 in the UEFA Champions League with Celtic. A confident victory on the road indicates a difficult preparation for this Serie A match. While Atalanta, who recently played 01. 10. 2023, will have a week's rest, which gives her a slight advantage.
In terms of historical significance, both teams have rich football traditions. Lazio's home advantage could be negated by Atalanta's passionate fans, known for their frequent travel. Looking at the teams' recent performances, Lazio have been inconsistent, with a goal difference of -3 in 7 matches, while Atalanta have a +6 in the same number of games, which gives a more complete picture of their form. In addition, Atalanta has a better defensive record, conceding only 5 goals compared to Lazio's 10.
Going deeper into the specific metrics: Possession and shots on goal stats show Atalanta's attacking dominance, while expected goals (xG) stats show how well chances are taken. Lazio, despite some deficiencies in defense, seems to be equal in attack, although perhaps not as clinically. A key factor that can affect the dynamics of the game is Atalanta's penchant for committing fouls, which was evident in the match against Verona.
Over the last few meetings between these teams, we have seen a tendency for both teams to score goals. In recent matches, the total average of their games is about 2.4 goals per match. Atalanta's form and consistency, as well as Lazio's vulnerabilities in the back line, suggest that at least 3 goals will be scored in this match. Lazio's attack, despite its recent setbacks, has shown flashes of brilliance and could take advantage of Atalanta's aggressive play, which sometimes leaves them exposed at the back.
This selection is driven by a combination of historical data and the current form of both teams. The fast attacking style of both teams and possible defensive failures create a high probability of a tense game. Factor 2. 18 provides a decent profit for a given level of risk.
Atalanta's performance, especially in recent matches, suggests that the team is in better shape than Lazio. On the other hand, Lazio have just finished a difficult Champions League match against Celtic, so they have less time to recover and prepare. Atalanta, rested for a week and in better form recently, has a better chance of winning or at least drawing. Their best defense, in contrast to Lazio’s recent failures, also convinces us of this. In addition, historical meetings and current dynamics suggest that Atalanta will not leave the field empty-handed.