Prediction for the match: Inter - Bologna

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Football
Italy: Serie A - Round 8
Inter
Place Bet
Bologna
7 October 2023
16:00
UTC+3
Completed 1 month ago
Total:
1/2
The best:
1/1
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Analysis:

Digging deeper into the statistics presented, some noteworthy patterns and conclusions can be identified.

Inter, historically one of the leaders of Italian football, have shown impressive form recently. Inter have won six of their last seven matches. At the same time, they scored 19 goals, conceding only 3. Their superiority is further highlighted when looking at expected goals (xG) - in particular against Benfica in the Champions League they posted an xG of 3.82 versus just 0.26 for Benfica. This suggests that Inter are constantly creating better chances, although they do not always convert them. Possession of the ball in matches against European teams indicates the ability to control the pace of the game, which could play a decisive role in the match with Bologna.

On the other hand, Bologna does not show the same consistency. In their last seven matches they have won only twice and drawn four. They scored 6 and conceded 4, suggesting a more cautious approach, especially against teams like Inter. The match with Napoli, in which they showed a low xG ratio (0.18 vs. 1.85 for Napoli), shows that they sometimes fail to create opportunities against stronger teams.

The latest confrontations between Inter and Bologna gave mixed results. While Inter beat Bologna 6-1 in November 2022, Bologna responded with two wins in 2023 and 2022, suggesting that Inter could be a tough nut to crack.

Best Bet

Inter have been in amazing form lately, scoring 19 goals in their last seven matches, an average of around 2.7 goals per match. Bologna, although not as strong, were still able to achieve success, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match over the same period. When these two teams meet, their contrasting styles often result in a match rife with scoring chances. The average performance of both teams suggests that this game will see over 2.5 goals scored, especially given Inter's attacking prowess and Bologna's ability to launch surprise counter-attacks.

This bet not only provides good odds, but also relies on the consistent scoring form of both teams. Although betting on a corner has slightly higher odds, betting on total goals over 2.5 is based on a more reliable statistical basis and offers a favorable balance of risk and reward.

Inter's game is based on aggressiveness and the ability to keep the ball in the opponent's half of the field. This often results in them being forced to take corners more often than their opponents. In recent matches, especially against teams with a defensive position similar to Bologna, they are constantly winning corners. In previous meetings with Inter, Bologna tended to sit back, resulting in fewer corners from them. Given this pattern and Inter's dominant possession, it can be assumed that Inter will beat Bologna in the number of corners in the upcoming match.

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