Considering the upcoming match between Fulham and Chelsea, scheduled for October 2, 2023., we're noticing clear patterns in their recent form and matches against each other. In their last six Premier League matches, Fulham have won two, drawn two and lost two, scoring five and conceding ten goals. Chelsea, on the other hand, are showing rather disappointing form: just one win, two draws and three defeats, with five goals scored and six goals conceded. Despite Chelsea's obvious strength in English football history, their latest form shows vulnerability. Fulham's results in recent matches, although not stellar, indicate greater stability and resilience. In head-to-head matches, the teams demonstrate equal competition: both have wins and draws. Chelsea dominated in previous meetings, but Fulham put up serious resistance in recent meetings, resulting in a win and a draw.
By analyzing additional metrics such as expected goals, ball possession and more, Fulham demonstrate competitiveness against stronger opponents, indicating their ability to withstand pressure. But Chelsea, despite often having the best record, especially in possession, have failed to translate that into decisive wins, highlighting potential difficulties in capitalizing on their opportunities.
In terms of betting advice, the Double Chance Fulham win or draw bet has medium risk given Chelsea's current poor performance and Fulham's slightly better form, as well as the recent history of meetings between the teams. Betting on total goals under 2.5 is another low to medium risk option given that both teams have been scoring fewer goals lately. Betting on Fulham to win in the first half is a riskier bet based on Chelsea's potential morale slump due to their recent form and Fulham's advantage at home and support from the fans, which could boost their confidence early in the game. These rates provide a balanced approach to risk, taking into account all the underlying factors from the statistics presented.
Event: Match outcome (Double outcome)
Bid: Fulham or draw, CF 1. 80
Why: Fulham are showing more consistent form compared to Chelsea, who have not been performing as well in recent matches. Despite Chelsea's historical dominance, recent match statistics show Fulham have become more resilient and competitive. Chelsea's current inability to convert possession and opportunities into goals makes it even more likely that Fulham will draw at least.
Event: Total goals
Short And average risk
Bid: Total goals under 2.5, EF 1. 95
Why: Both Fulham and Chelsea have shown a downward trend in goals scored recently. Considering that both teams have a history of strong defense and less productive attack, betting on a total of less than 2.5 goals seems to be a very realistic option. Statistics show that the number of goals on average is less than 2.5, indicating a potentially low-scoring game.
This bet offers a balance between good odds and reasonable security. If we analyze the recent form of both teams and their matches, we can see that there is a consistent trend in matches with a low number of goals scored. This trend highlights betting on under 2.5 goals as a promising and safer betting opportunity, consistent with the observed performances and recent results of both teams.
Event: Outcome of 1st half
Bid: Fulham win first half, CF 4. 05
Why: Given Chelsea's possible morale problems and Fulham's home advantage, Fulham could start the game early. Support from the home fans can boost their confidence early in the game and create the potential for a surprise lead at half-time. However, this bet is significantly riskier due to Chelsea's unpredictable rebound ability.
EnglandPremier League - Round 7