Bayern have been performing amazingly lately. Unbeaten in her last six matches, she shows prodigious scoring potential, averaging 4.3 goals per game. A 7-0 thrashing of Bochum and a close 4-3 win over heavyweights Manchester United particularly highlight their attacking potential. Although their defense conceded 2 goals against RB Leipzig, they have only conceded 6 in their last six matches, showing their balance.
But Freiburg has mixed results. Although they won victories, they also suffered heavy defeats, as, for example, in the match with Stuttgart (5:0). They have been showing vulnerability in defense lately, conceding 10 goals in 6 matches. Notably, Bayern tend to play games with a lower goal difference: their average is 2.8 goals per match.
Historically, Bayern have dominated matches between these teams. Of the last four matches, Freiburg managed to beat Bayern only once in the DFB Pokal. Playing at home, Bayern, with their record and support from their fans, look like clear favorites.
Bayern's statistics for possession, shots on goal and expected goals are superior to all others. 63% possession against RB Leipzig and 60% against Bochum highlight their control in midfield. Freiburg's performance, although decent, is not up to par, especially in high-league matches.
Given the importance of this Bundesliga match, it can be assumed that both teams will field their strongest squads. However, Bayern's schedule, which includes Champions League matches, could overload the squad, which could even out the situation.
Bayern, both historically and recently, has an advantage over Freiburg. Their performances in recent matches, such as the 7-0 win over Bochum and the hard-fought 4-3 win over Manchester United, demonstrate their attacking potential. They have been averaging 4.3 goals per match recently and their defensive record - just 6 goals in 6 matches - shows their consistency. Given the added advantage of a home game and the support of the fans, a Bayern victory by at least 2 goals seems not just likely, but very likely. Additionally, a handicap provides higher odds than an outright win, making it an attractive option for bettors looking for a good balance between risk and reward.
Given Bayern's consistent form and historical dominance, this bet offers the most balanced combination of favorable odds and event probability.
Both teams display a goal-scoring style of play, with Bayern scoring an average of 4.3 goals per match and Freiburg scoring more than 3 goals on multiple occasions. Given Bayern's powerful attack and Freiburg's defensive vulnerabilities, this game could be full of scoring action. Freiburg's aggressive play could also contribute to the result. Based on previous fixtures and recent form, a game where the total goes over 3.5 goals is a distinct possibility and the odds on offer make it a tempting bet.